Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
2-1
HT 2-1
Lechia Gdansk
POL
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
5-1
HT 2-1
Lechia Gdansk
POL
1-0
HT 0-0
Lechia Gdansk
POL
Pogon Szczecin 3-3 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin and Lechia Gdansk couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pogon Szczecin at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 43% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 57%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.09 to 1.11.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.33 for Lechia Gdansk.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk?
Pogon Szczecin 3-3 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 58%, draw 21%, Lechia Gdansk 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.