Piast Gliwice 2-0 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.74
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.97
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
12%
7.15
X/X
17%
4.41
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
5.4
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
45%
-12.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
38%
Away Win
27%
+10.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.42/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.36
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.3 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.80 xG 1.44
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 443
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
10.02.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-3 HT 0-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
05.08.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
31.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
10.09.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-3 HT 2-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
26.02.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-0
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
1.55 xG 0.82
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
243 Passes 451
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice beat Gornik Zabrze 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Piast Gliwice made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 38% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 62%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.55 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.17 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Piast Gliwice 2-0 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 32%, draw 30%, Gornik Zabrze 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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