Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Pogon Szczecin v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Pogon Szczecin 3-4 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics
Lechia Gdansk found just enough to beat Pogon Szczecin 4-3 away from home. The 2-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We leaned Pogon Szczecin at 53% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in Pogon Szczecin's favour, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 2.45 to 2.89.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Pogon Szczecin against 0.83 for Lechia Gdansk.
Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Result & Final Score
Pogon Szczecin 3 - 4 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Pogon Szczecin vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 53%, draw 23%, Lechia Gdansk 23%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) went the other way.