Varzim 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-2.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.67/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.79
+27% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +62%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
1-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim edged past Uniao Santarem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Varzim had 57% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 43%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Uniao Santarem?

Varzim 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Varzim 47%, draw 26%, Uniao Santarem 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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