Sporting Braga II 0-1 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.25/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.64
-4% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2026 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
17.01.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
25.10.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
12.04.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 3-3 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
15.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.11.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
0-1
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver squeezed past Sporting Braga II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 49% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 51%, shots finished 6-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Braga II and 1.17 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver?

Sporting Braga II 0-1 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 45%, draw 27%, Sao Joao Ver 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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