Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
0.73/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.97
-43% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2026 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
25.10.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
12.04.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 3-3 HT 1-2 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
15.03.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.11.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
10.08.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga II
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver and Sporting Braga II shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 45% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 55%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.00 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 45%, draw 24%, Sporting Braga II 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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