Amarante vs Trofense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amarante v Trofense — Team-Based Signals
Amarante vs Trofense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Amarante 1-0 Trofense — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante edged past Trofense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Amarante found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Amarante had 47% of the ball to Trofense's 53%, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Amarante and 0.50 for Trofense.
What was the final score of Amarante vs Trofense?
Amarante 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amarante vs Trofense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amarante 35%, draw 31%, Trofense 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amarante), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.