Mafra 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.59
+24% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +113%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
21.11.2015 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II squeezed past Mafra 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Vitoria Guimaraes II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mafra had 55% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 45%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Mafra 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mafra 38%, draw 29%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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