Sanjoanense 1-1 AD Marco 09 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AD Marco 09
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2025 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 2-1 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
16.08.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
1-1
AWAY AD Marco 09
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense and AD Marco 09 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 62% of the ball to AD Marco 09's 38%, shots finished 9-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AD Marco 09 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 1.00 for AD Marco 09.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09?

Sanjoanense 1-1 AD Marco 09 in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs AD Marco 09?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 37%, draw 29%, AD Marco 09 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sanjoanense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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