AD Marco 09 2-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AD Marco 09 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.11
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AD Marco 09
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sanjoanense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
16.08.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 AD Marco 09 AD Marco 09 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AD Marco 09
2-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AD Marco 09 squeezed past Sanjoanense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AD Marco 09 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AD Marco 09 had 55% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 45%, shots finished 14-6.

What was the final score of AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense?

AD Marco 09 2-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a AD Marco 09 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AD Marco 09 45%, draw 26%, Sanjoanense 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AD Marco 09) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AD Marco 09) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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