Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.75/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.07
-40% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Varzim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2025 Varzim Varzim 4-0 HT 3-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
26.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 2-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
26.10.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
22.04.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.02.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
08.11.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-1
AWAY Varzim
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver and Varzim couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 50% of the ball to Varzim's 50%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.50 for Varzim.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?

Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 37%, draw 27%, Varzim 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
29 Nov 2025
14:00 AD Marco 09 vs Sanjoanense Analysis →
18:00 Amarante vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Analysis →
18:00 Fafe vs Paredes Analysis →
20:00 Uniao Santarem vs Academica Analysis →