Varzim 4-0 Sao Joao Ver — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Aug 2025

Varzim
4-0 HT 3-0
Sao Joao Ver
📅16/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varzim v Sao Joao Ver — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varzim EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.57/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.99
+21% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -37%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varzim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.01.2025 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 2-1 Varzim Varzim POR3
26.10.2024 Varzim Varzim 2-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
22.04.2023 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 1-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
12.02.2023 Varzim Varzim 0-1 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
08.11.2022 Varzim Varzim 1-0 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POK
29.10.2022 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-0 HT 0-0 Varzim Varzim POR3

Varzim 4-0 Sao Joao Ver — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varzim
4-0
AWAY Sao Joao Ver
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varzim ran out comfortable winners over Sao Joao Ver 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Varzim as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Varzim had 40% of the ball to Sao Joao Ver's 60%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Varzim and 1.17 for Sao Joao Ver.

What was the final score of Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver?

Varzim 4-0 Sao Joao Ver in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varzim vs Sao Joao Ver?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Varzim 44%, draw 28%, Sao Joao Ver 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varzim) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Varzim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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