Trofense 2-0 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.12/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.07
-11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Trofense Trofense 0-2 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
16.02.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
23.11.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
02.08.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
03.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
20.08.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
2-0
AWAY Sporting Braga II
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trofense got the better of Sporting Braga II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trofense as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 43% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 57%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Trofense and 0.83 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sporting Braga II?

Trofense 2-0 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trofense 44%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trofense), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5
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