Trofense 0-2 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trofense EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.17
+11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trofense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
23.11.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
02.08.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
03.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
20.08.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
22.02.2015 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trofense
0-2
AWAY Sporting Braga II
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Trofense vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II beat Trofense 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Trofense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Trofense had 56% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 44%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Trofense and 0.67 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Trofense vs Sporting Braga II?

Trofense 0-2 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trofense vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trofense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trofense 44%, draw 27%, Sporting Braga II 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Trofense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trofense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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