Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 0-2
Caldas
POR3
3-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Covilha
POK
Sporting Covilha 1-1 Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha and Caldas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 61% of the ball to Caldas's 39%, shots finished 12-2.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Covilha had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.50 for Caldas.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Sporting Covilha 1-1 Caldas in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 40%, draw 28%, Caldas 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha), BTTS No went the other way.