Academica 0-4 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.66
No
54%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 29%
-21% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.05/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.86
-23% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
293 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
08.12.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-3 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
23.08.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
0-4
AWAY Uniao Santarem
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Academica vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem ran out comfortable winners over Academica 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Academica had 50% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 50%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Academica and 0.00 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Academica 0-4 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 24%, Uniao Santarem 35%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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