Anadia 0-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.52/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.02
+14% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2025 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-1 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
04.01.2025 Anadia Anadia 2-1 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
14.09.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-2 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
14.04.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
16.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
03.12.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
0-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanjoanense edged past Anadia 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Anadia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Anadia had 46% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Anadia and 1.17 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Anadia 0-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Anadia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Anadia 44%, draw 27%, Sanjoanense 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Anadia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Anadia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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