Anadia 2-1 Sanjoanense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 Jan 2025

📅04/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.19/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
-7% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanjoanense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.09.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 1-2 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
14.04.2024 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 0-0 HT 0-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
16.03.2024 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
03.12.2023 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense 2-1 HT 1-0 Anadia Anadia POR3
20.08.2023 Anadia Anadia 1-2 HT 1-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
12.03.2023 Anadia Anadia 2-1 HT 1-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
2-1
AWAY Sanjoanense
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Sanjoanense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia edged past Sanjoanense 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Anadia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Anadia had 45% of the ball to Sanjoanense's 55%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanjoanense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Anadia and 1.33 for Sanjoanense.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Anadia 2-1 Sanjoanense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Sanjoanense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanjoanense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Anadia 34%, draw 31%, Sanjoanense 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sanjoanense) ✗ Under 2.5
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