Sporting CP II 2-0 Varzim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Varzim EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -7%
2.05/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.20
+67% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Varzim
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2025 Varzim Varzim 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
2-0
AWAY Varzim
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Varzim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP II beat Varzim 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sporting CP II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 58% of the ball to Varzim's 42%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Varzim?

Sporting CP II 2-0 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Varzim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 40%, draw 27%, Varzim 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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