Sporting Braga II 1-0 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.3pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.99/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.50
-26% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Trofense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
02.08.2024 Trofense Trofense 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
03.12.2023 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
20.08.2023 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 1-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
22.02.2015 Trofense Trofense 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR2
12.09.2014 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-2 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-0
AWAY Trofense
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II nicked a narrow win over Trofense 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting Braga II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 32% of the ball to Trofense's 68%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trofense led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Braga II and 0.67 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Trofense?

Sporting Braga II 1-0 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 38%, draw 25%, Trofense 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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