Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Lusitania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania EU Bookmakers 26%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.59/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.64
-57% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +100%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oliveira Hospital
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lusitania
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.01.2025 Lusitania Lusitania 0-0 HT 0-0 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital POR3
29.09.2024 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital 1-1 HT 0-0 Lusitania Lusitania POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-1
AWAY Lusitania
42% Ball Possession 58%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital and Lusitania shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oliveira Hospital at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 42% of the ball to Lusitania's 58%, shots finished 18-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Oliveira Hospital and 0.50 for Lusitania.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania?

Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 50%, draw 23%, Lusitania 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Oliveira Hospital), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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