Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Lusitania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

Oliveira Hospital
1-1 HT 0-0
Lusitania
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Oliveira Hospital v Lusitania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oliveira Hospital EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
0.75/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0

Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Lusitania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oliveira Hospital
1-1
AWAY Lusitania
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oliveira Hospital and Lusitania couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oliveira Hospital had 54% of the ball to Lusitania's 46%, shots finished 15-4.

What was the final score of Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania?

Oliveira Hospital 1-1 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oliveira Hospital win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oliveira Hospital 40%, draw 26%, Lusitania 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oliveira Hospital) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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