Uniao Santarem 1-2 CF Os Belenenses — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 38%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.66/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.91
+30% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-2
AWAY CF Os Belenenses
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 11
13 Shots on Target 6
15 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day CF Os Belenenses made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 56% of the ball to CF Os Belenenses's 44%, shots finished 21-11.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses?

Uniao Santarem 1-2 CF Os Belenenses in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uniao Santarem win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 35%, draw 32%, CF Os Belenenses 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Uniao Santarem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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