Atletico CP 1-0 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 27%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.00/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.13
-100% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
02.03.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
18.08.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.04.2015 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
23.03.2014 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-0
AWAY Sporting Covilha
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico CP nicked a narrow win over Sporting Covilha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Atletico CP made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Atletico CP had 50% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 50%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico CP and 1.17 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?

Atletico CP 1-0 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 39%, draw 29%, Sporting Covilha 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico CP), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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