Atletico CP 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.14/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.82
-7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico CP
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 2-2 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2023 Atletico CP Atletico CP 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
18.08.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
04.04.2015 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR2
23.03.2014 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-2 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico CP
1-2
AWAY Sporting Covilha
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha edged past Atletico CP 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Sporting Covilha found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico CP had 49% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atletico CP had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Atletico CP and 1.00 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?

Atletico CP 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico CP vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico CP win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico CP 40%, draw 25%, Sporting Covilha 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico CP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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