Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
1.56/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/2.48
+2% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -48%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 1-0 HT 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
05.11.2023 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 2-1 HT 0-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa POR3
08.08.2023 Lusitania FC Lourosa Lusitania FC Lourosa 0-0 HT 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
2-0
AWAY Lusitania FC Lourosa
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 saw off Lusitania FC Lourosa 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 54% of the ball to Lusitania FC Lourosa's 46%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Felgueiras 1932 and 0.67 for Lusitania FC Lourosa.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Lusitania FC Lourosa in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania FC Lourosa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 47%, draw 25%, Lusitania FC Lourosa 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5
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