Amora FC 0-1 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amora FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 30%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.80/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.69
+47% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +78%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amora FC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Dezembro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 1-0 HT 1-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
21.01.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 0-0 HT 0-0 Amora FC Amora FC POR3
08.10.2023 Amora FC Amora FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amora FC
0-1
AWAY Dezembro
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Amora FC vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro edged past Amora FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 33% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dezembro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Amora FC had 52% of the ball to Dezembro's 48%, shots finished 6-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dezembro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Amora FC and 1.00 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Amora FC vs Dezembro?

Amora FC 0-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amora FC vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amora FC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Amora FC 35%, draw 33%, Dezembro 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amora FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amora FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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