Sporting Braga II 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.46/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.14
+20% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Academica
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Academica Academica 0-3 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga II
1-1
AWAY Academica
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga II vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga II and Academica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Braga II had 58% of the ball to Academica's 42%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga II vs Academica?

Sporting Braga II 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga II vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga II 42%, draw 25%, Academica 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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