Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.86/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.69
+23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Vilaverdense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 3-1 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
25.08.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-2 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
18.02.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
04.11.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-1
AWAY Vilaverdense
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver and Vilaverdense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sao Joao Ver at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 68% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 32%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.00 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense?

Sao Joao Ver 1-1 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 45%, draw 28%, Vilaverdense 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sao Joao Ver), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
16 Feb 2025
14:00 Amarante vs Fafe Analysis →
18:00 Atletico CP vs Sporting CP II Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Anadia Analysis →
18:00 Sporting Braga II vs Trofense Analysis →
18:00 Oliveira Hospital vs Lusitania Analysis →