Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Vilaverdense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
48%
-9.8pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.7pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vilaverdense EU Bookmakers 29%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.01/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.98
-25% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Vilaverdense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 2-2 HT 1-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
18.02.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 0-0 HT 0-0 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense POR3
04.11.2022 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense 1-1 HT 0-1 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
3-1
AWAY Vilaverdense
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver got the better of Vilaverdense 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Sao Joao Ver made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 61% of the ball to Vilaverdense's 39%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 1.00 for Vilaverdense.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense?

Sao Joao Ver 3-1 Vilaverdense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Vilaverdense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 38%, draw 33%, Vilaverdense 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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