Sporting Covilha 0-3 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.76/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
+40% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Dezembro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 3-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.12.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
27.08.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-3
AWAY Dezembro
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro cruised past Sporting Covilha 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Dezembro found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 57% of the ball to Dezembro's 43%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.00 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?

Sporting Covilha 0-3 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 37%, draw 31%, Dezembro 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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