Anadia 1-0 Amarante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Anadia EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Amarante EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.27/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Anadia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Amarante
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 0
25.08.2024 Amarante Amarante 0-1 HT 0-1 Anadia Anadia POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Anadia
1-0
AWAY Amarante
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Anadia vs Amarante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Anadia edged past Amarante 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Amarante at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Anadia had 43% of the ball to Amarante's 57%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Anadia vs Amarante?

Anadia 1-0 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Anadia vs Amarante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Anadia 32%, draw 27%, Amarante 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Amarante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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