Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Covilha v Dezembro — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Dezembro
POR3
0-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Covilha
POR3
Sporting Covilha 0-1 Dezembro — Actual Match Statistics
Dezembro squeezed past Sporting Covilha 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Dezembro made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Sporting Covilha had 41% of the ball to Dezembro's 59%, shots finished 9-11.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dezembro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.50 for Dezembro.
What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?
Sporting Covilha 0-1 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 39%, draw 26%, Dezembro 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.