Uniao Santarem 1-1 Academica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Academica EU Bookmakers 48%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.83/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.36
-33% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uniao Santarem
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Academica
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 0-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
04.05.2025 Academica Academica 0-4 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
15.02.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
08.12.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-3 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
23.08.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uniao Santarem
1-1
AWAY Academica
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uniao Santarem vs Academica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uniao Santarem and Academica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Academica at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Uniao Santarem had 39% of the ball to Academica's 61%, shots finished 6-21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Academica led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Uniao Santarem and 1.00 for Academica.

What was the final score of Uniao Santarem vs Academica?

Uniao Santarem 1-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uniao Santarem vs Academica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uniao Santarem 31%, draw 28%, Academica 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Academica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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