Amarante 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.75/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-41% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-3 HT 1-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-2
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
61% Ball Possession 39%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II squeezed past Amarante 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Vitoria Guimaraes II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amarante had 61% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 39%, shots finished 5-7.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Amarante 1-2 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amarante 31%, draw 33%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) ✗ Under 2.5
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