Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes II v Amarante — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-3 Amarante — Actual Match Statistics
Amarante edged past Vitoria Guimaraes II 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Vitoria Guimaraes II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes II had 55% of the ball to Amarante's 45%, shots finished 11-9.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante?
Vitoria Guimaraes II 2-3 Amarante in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes II vs Amarante?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes II 41%, draw 25%, Amarante 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II), Under 2.5 went the other way.