CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atletico CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.6pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Os Belenenses EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico CP EU Bookmakers 26%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.15/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.58
-10% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Atletico CP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
43% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
05.04.2025 Atletico CP Atletico CP 2-2 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
07.02.2025 CF Os Belenenses 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
01.12.2024 CF Os Belenenses 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico CP Atletico CP POR3
18.08.2024 Atletico CP Atletico CP 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Os Belenenses POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Os Belenenses
1-0
AWAY Atletico CP
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Os Belenenses vs Atletico CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Os Belenenses squeezed past Atletico CP 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CF Os Belenenses as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CF Os Belenenses had 54% of the ball to Atletico CP's 46%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, CF Os Belenenses had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CF Os Belenenses and 0.75 for Atletico CP.

What was the final score of CF Os Belenenses vs Atletico CP?

CF Os Belenenses 1-0 Atletico CP in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Os Belenenses vs Atletico CP?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Os Belenenses win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CF Os Belenenses 42%, draw 30%, Atletico CP 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Os Belenenses), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Os Belenenses) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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