Lusitano Évora 1911 4-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lusitano Évora 1911
4-1
AWAY Mafra
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lusitano Évora 1911 cruised past Mafra 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitano Évora 1911 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lusitano Évora 1911 had 51% of the ball to Mafra's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?

Lusitano Évora 1911 4-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lusitano Évora 1911 vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitano Évora 1911 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitano Évora 1911 43%, draw 26%, Mafra 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lusitano Évora 1911) ✗ Under 2.5
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