Paredes 1-1 Fafe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2025

Paredes
1-1 HT 0-1
Fafe
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paredes EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fafe EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.30/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.81
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paredes
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Fafe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2023 Paredes Paredes 0-1 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
09.10.2022 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paredes
1-1
AWAY Fafe
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paredes vs Fafe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes and Fafe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paredes had 49% of the ball to Fafe's 51%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fafe led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Paredes and 0.50 for Fafe.

What was the final score of Paredes vs Fafe?

Paredes 1-1 Fafe in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paredes vs Fafe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Paredes 35%, draw 27%, Fafe 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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