Academica 1-0 Uniao Santarem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Uniao Santarem EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.83/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.76
-36% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +70%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academica
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Uniao Santarem
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Academica Academica 0-4 HT 0-1 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
15.02.2025 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-0 HT 0-0 Academica Academica POR3
08.12.2024 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem 0-3 HT 0-2 Academica Academica POR3
23.08.2024 Academica Academica 1-0 HT 1-0 Uniao Santarem Uniao Santarem POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academica
1-0
AWAY Uniao Santarem
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academica vs Uniao Santarem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Academica nicked a narrow win over Uniao Santarem 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Academica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Academica had 51% of the ball to Uniao Santarem's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Academica and 1.00 for Uniao Santarem.

What was the final score of Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Academica 1-0 Uniao Santarem in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academica vs Uniao Santarem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Academica 41%, draw 24%, Uniao Santarem 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Academica), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Academica) ✓ Under 2.5
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