Amarante 1-1 Trofense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amarante EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Trofense EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.03/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.97
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
387 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amarante
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Trofense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Trofense Trofense 0-1 HT 0-1 Amarante Amarante POR3
10.11.2024 Trofense Trofense 1-0 HT 1-0 Amarante Amarante POR3
11.08.2024 Amarante Amarante 1-0 HT 0-0 Trofense Trofense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amarante
1-1
AWAY Trofense
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Amarante vs Trofense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amarante and Trofense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Amarante had 49% of the ball to Trofense's 51%, shots finished 5-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Amarante had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Amarante and 0.33 for Trofense.

What was the final score of Amarante vs Trofense?

Amarante 1-1 Trofense in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amarante vs Trofense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amarante win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amarante 36%, draw 32%, Trofense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amarante), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amarante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR3 More Portugal - 3rd Division
25 Jan 2026
18:00 AD Marco 09 vs Varzim Analysis →
18:00 Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II Analysis →
18:00 Fafe vs Sporting Braga II Analysis →
18:00 Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes Analysis →