Sao Joao Ver 1-2 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
59%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
22%
-2.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.7pp
59%
Away Win
52%
+7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 56%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.28/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+16% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
242 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Paredes
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
20.10.2024 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 4-1 HT 2-1 Paredes Paredes POK
04.03.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
26.11.2022 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
1-2
AWAY Paredes
52% Ball Possession 48%
4 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paredes squeezed past Sao Joao Ver 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paredes as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 52% of the ball to Paredes's 48%, shots finished 4-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sao Joao Ver had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 0.50 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Sao Joao Ver 1-2 Paredes in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paredes win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 20%, draw 21%, Paredes 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paredes) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paredes) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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