Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Paredes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Joao Ver EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paredes EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Joao Ver
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Paredes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2023 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver 1-1 HT 0-0 Paredes Paredes POR3
26.11.2022 Paredes Paredes 0-0 HT 0-0 Sao Joao Ver Sao Joao Ver POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Joao Ver
4-1
AWAY Paredes
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Joao Ver swept aside Paredes 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Sao Joao Ver found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sao Joao Ver had 53% of the ball to Paredes's 47%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sao Joao Ver and 0.50 for Paredes.

What was the final score of Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Sao Joao Ver 4-1 Paredes in the Portugal - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Joao Ver vs Paredes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Joao Ver win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sao Joao Ver 38%, draw 32%, Paredes 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Joao Ver) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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