Fafe 2-2 Sporting Braga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fafe EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga II EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.39/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.36
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fafe
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Braga II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2025 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 1-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
05.01.2025 Fafe Fafe 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
14.09.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 2-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
19.01.2024 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II 0-0 HT 0-0 Fafe Fafe POR3
08.10.2023 Fafe Fafe 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
04.02.2023 Fafe Fafe 1-4 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fafe
2-2
AWAY Sporting Braga II
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Fafe vs Sporting Braga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fafe and Sporting Braga II couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fafe at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Fafe had 56% of the ball to Sporting Braga II's 44%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Fafe and 1.17 for Sporting Braga II.

What was the final score of Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?

Fafe 2-2 Sporting Braga II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fafe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fafe 54%, draw 25%, Sporting Braga II 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fafe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fafe) ✓ BTTS Yes
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