Sanjoanense 2-3 Vitoria Guimaraes II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.9
Over 2.5
40%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+1.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanjoanense EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.47/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.53
+21% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +134%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanjoanense
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
02.11.2025 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 1-0 HT 0-0 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
07.01.2023 Vitoria Guimaraes II Vitoria Guimaraes II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanjoanense
2-3
AWAY Vitoria Guimaraes II
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes II nicked a narrow win over Sanjoanense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sanjoanense had 60% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes II's 40%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sanjoanense and 0.50 for Vitoria Guimaraes II.

What was the final score of Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Sanjoanense 2-3 Vitoria Guimaraes II in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanjoanense vs Vitoria Guimaraes II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vitoria Guimaraes II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanjoanense 31%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes II 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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