Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dezembro v Sporting Covilha — Team-Based Signals
Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Dezembro
POR3
Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Dezembro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Dezembro had 63% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 37%, shots finished 16-7.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dezembro had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dezembro and 0.33 for Sporting Covilha.
What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?
Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 42%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.