Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Covilha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dezembro EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +11%
1.33/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.06
+2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dezembro
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sporting Covilha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2026 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-2 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
30.11.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
16.08.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
08.12.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
24.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 3-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.12.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dezembro
1-2
AWAY Sporting Covilha
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
12 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha nicked a narrow win over Dezembro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dezembro at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dezembro had 63% of the ball to Sporting Covilha's 37%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dezembro had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dezembro and 0.33 for Sporting Covilha.

What was the final score of Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?

Dezembro 1-2 Sporting Covilha in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dezembro vs Sporting Covilha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dezembro win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dezembro 42%, draw 31%, Sporting Covilha 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dezembro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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