Sporting Covilha 0-2 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.8pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.90/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.25
-31% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Dezembro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 1-1 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
16.08.2025 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-1 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
08.12.2024 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-3 HT 0-1 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
24.08.2024 Dezembro Dezembro 3-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
10.12.2023 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha 0-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
27.08.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-2
AWAY Dezembro
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro got the better of Sporting Covilha 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 53% of the ball to Dezembro's 47%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dezembro led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Covilha and 1.33 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?

Sporting Covilha 0-2 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 41%, draw 31%, Dezembro 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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