Varzim vs Academica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Varzim v Academica — Team-Based Signals
Varzim vs Academica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
Varzim
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR2
Varzim 0-1 Academica — Actual Match Statistics
Academica edged past Varzim 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Academica found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Varzim had 57% of the ball to Academica's 43%, shots finished 13-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varzim had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Varzim and 1.33 for Academica.
What was the final score of Varzim vs Academica?
Varzim 0-1 Academica in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Varzim vs Academica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Varzim win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varzim 38%, draw 30%, Academica 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Varzim) went the other way.