Academica vs Varzim Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Academica v Varzim — Team-Based Signals
Academica vs Varzim Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
Varzim
HAZ
1-0
HT 0-0
Academica
POR2
1-1
HT 0-0
Varzim
POR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Varzim
POR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Varzim
POK
Academica 2-3 Varzim — Actual Match Statistics
Varzim nicked a narrow win over Academica 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Academica at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Academica had 53% of the ball to Varzim's 47%, shots finished 11-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Academica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Academica and 0.83 for Varzim.
What was the final score of Academica vs Varzim?
Academica 2-3 Varzim in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Academica vs Varzim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Academica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Academica 43%, draw 29%, Varzim 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.