Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa edged past Alverca 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 67% of the ball to Alverca's 33%, shots finished 19-8.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Alverca?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Alverca in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 43%, draw 26%, Alverca 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.